Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 0.054124 0.058684 0.063295 0.068300 0.073572 0.078953 0.084852
2025-04-13 0.048071 0.054854 0.061947 0.069889 0.078507 0.087551 0.097732
2025-04-20 0.041835 0.050074 0.058959 0.069190 0.080585 0.092828 0.106918
2025-04-27 0.037468 0.046848 0.057247 0.069520 0.083499 0.098819 0.116773
2025-05-04 0.034448 0.044808 0.056582 0.070779 0.087262 0.105633 0.127487
2025-05-11 0.032421 0.043697 0.056798 0.072894 0.091891 0.113365 0.139235
2025-05-18 0.028272 0.039711 0.053341 0.070444 0.091002 0.114600 0.143416
2025-05-25 0.025656 0.037397 0.051705 0.069991 0.092315 0.118278 0.150341
2025-06-01 0.023372 0.035325 0.050210 0.069569 0.093550 0.121778 0.157000
2025-06-08 0.022468 0.034962 0.050791 0.071661 0.097806 0.128866 0.167927
2025-06-15 0.021332 0.034200 0.050791 0.072967 0.101062 0.134740 0.177419
2025-06-22 0.020128 0.033258 0.050487 0.073829 0.103725 0.139878 0.186030
2025-06-29 0.018537 0.031716 0.049359 0.073630 0.105096 0.143517 0.192960
2025-07-06 0.017775 0.031299 0.049702 0.075331 0.108880 0.150158 0.203615
2025-07-13 0.016221 0.029632 0.048263 0.074609 0.109512 0.152858 0.209425
2025-07-20 0.015160 0.028620 0.047668 0.074965 0.111503 0.157245 0.217326
2025-07-27 0.014497 0.028164 0.047813 0.076295 0.114751 0.163217 0.227223
2025-08-03 0.014157 0.028183 0.048619 0.078524 0.119193 0.170730 0.239094
2025-08-10 0.012440 0.025907 0.046015 0.075946 0.117178 0.169940 0.240476
2025-08-17 0.011448 0.024730 0.044954 0.075469 0.117927 0.172669 0.246293
2025-08-24 0.010542 0.023629 0.043952 0.075025 0.118683 0.175384 0.252082
2025-08-31 0.010359 0.023751 0.044795 0.077228 0.123063 0.182846 0.263986
2025-09-07 0.009986 0.023516 0.045072 0.078604 0.126308 0.188838 0.274035